Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.125574 0.139520 0.153777 0.169403 0.186012 0.203101 0.221977
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.110491 0.130054 0.150755 0.174168 0.199789 0.226859 0.257508
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.096202 0.119506 0.144959 0.174555 0.207763 0.243633 0.285065
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.086609 0.113082 0.142837 0.178290 0.218930 0.263643 0.316141
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.077278 0.106041 0.139290 0.179839 0.227253 0.280300 0.343498
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.068443 0.098772 0.134828 0.179801 0.233388 0.294278 0.367793
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.061419 0.093081 0.131744 0.180985 0.240669 0.309433 0.393431
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.054391 0.086760 0.127387 0.180223 0.245346 0.321384 0.415304
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050127 0.083658 0.126761 0.183821 0.255135 0.339316 0.444232
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045209 0.079238 0.124109 0.184614 0.261316 0.352860 0.467978
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040608 0.074848 0.121172 0.184783 0.266539 0.365146 0.490199
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036059 0.070119 0.117455 0.183670 0.269954 0.375108 0.509571
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.032656 0.066910 0.115756 0.185278 0.277027 0.389898 0.535306
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030436 0.065309 0.116162 0.189616 0.287588 0.409057 0.566497
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027126 0.061661 0.113418 0.189509 0.292276 0.420854 0.588687
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025142 0.059988 0.113406 0.193064 0.301722 0.438648 0.618363
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022773 0.057423 0.111899 0.194413 0.308183 0.452652 0.643377
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020254 0.054318 0.109374 0.194169 0.312413 0.463763 0.664784
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018281 0.051981 0.107870 0.195262 0.318369 0.477061 0.688957
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016084 0.048957 0.105090 0.194353 0.321496 0.486651 0.708442
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014986 0.047965 0.105484 0.198047 0.330917 0.504429 0.738361
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013450 0.045887 0.103973 0.198819 0.336245 0.516849 0.761487
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011950 0.043683 0.102109 0.198953 0.340614 0.527981 0.782977